HNL · 2026/27

HNL Matchday 5 predictions

5 fixtures from August 29 to August 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, August 29 · 16:30

Istra 1961#6

2–2

Dinamo Zagreb#2
1 · 12%X · 23%2 · 65%
Dinamo Zagreb to win · 65%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, August 29

  1. 2–2
    Istra 1961#6
    Dinamo Zagreb#2
    12%23%65%
  2. 2–0
    NK Varazdin#3
    Rudes#9
    73%19%8%

Sunday, August 30

  1. 3–0
    NK Osijek#5
    NK Slaven Belupo#7
    59%26%15%

Monday, August 31

  1. 2–0
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#8
    HNK Hajduk Split#1
    64%24%12%
  2. 0–0
    HNK Gorica#10
    HNK Rijeka#4
    13%27%60%

HNL Matchday 5 runs from August 29 to August 31 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is NK Varazdin - Rudes: NK Varazdin to win at 73%. The tightest match is NK Osijek - NK Slaven Belupo, where no outcome clears 59%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All HNL predictions →HNL table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is HNL Matchday 5 played?

From August 29 to August 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

NK Varazdin - Rudes: NK Varazdin to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.