HNL · 2026/27

HNL Matchday 11 predictions

5 fixtures from October 24 to October 27. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Monday, October 26 · 17:00

Istra 1961#6

2–2

HNK Hajduk Split#1
1 · 19%X · 29%2 · 52%
HNK Hajduk Split to win · 52%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, October 24

  1. 0–0
    HNK Gorica#10
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#8
    39%28%33%
  2. 1–2
    NK Varazdin#3
    NK Slaven Belupo#7
    55%28%17%

Sunday, October 25

  1. 0–1
    NK Osijek#4
    Rudes#9
    64%24%12%

Monday, October 26

  1. 2–2
    Istra 1961#6
    HNK Hajduk Split#1
    19%29%52%

Tuesday, October 27

  1. 2–1
    Dinamo Zagreb#2
    HNK Rijeka#5
    59%26%15%

HNL Matchday 11 runs from October 24 to October 27 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is NK Osijek - Rudes: NK Osijek to win at 64%. The tightest match is HNK Gorica - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All HNL predictions →HNL table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 11 FAQ

When is HNL Matchday 11 played?

From October 24 to October 27. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?

NK Osijek - Rudes: NK Osijek to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.