Championship · 2026/27
Championship Matchday 4 predictions
12 fixtures from September 1 to September 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Tuesday, September 1 · 18:45
Every fixture this round
Tuesday, September 1
1X2- 4–2
West Ham#3
Wolves#440%29%31%✓ Hit - 1–3
Preston#24
Bristol City#1430%30%40%✓ Hit - 3–2
Sheffield Utd#12
Bolton#1864%22%14%✓ Hit - 2–0
Swansea#2
Watford#2151%28%21%✓ Hit - 0–2
Portsmouth#11
Derby#2341%31%28%✗ Miss - 0–0
Lincoln#15
Blackburn#1039%29%32%✗ Miss - 1–1
Birmingham#7
Southampton#639%28%33%✗ Miss - 1–0
Stoke City#9
Norwich#2024%28%48%✗ Miss
Championship Matchday 4 runs from September 1 to September 2 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Sheffield Utd - Bolton: Sheffield Utd to win at 64%. The tightest match is Lincoln - Blackburn, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- West Ham 4–2 Wolves, September 1: the model's pick was West Ham to win (40%) and it came in.
- Preston 1–3 Bristol City, September 1: the model's pick was Bristol City to win (40%) and it came in.
- Sheffield Utd 3–2 Bolton, September 1: the model's pick was Sheffield Utd to win (64%) and it came in.
- Swansea 2–0 Watford, September 1: the model's pick was Swansea to win (51%) and it came in.
- Portsmouth 0–2 Derby, September 1: the model's pick was Portsmouth to win (41%) and it missed.
- Lincoln 0–0 Blackburn, September 1: the model's pick was Lincoln to win (39%) and it missed.
- Birmingham 1–1 Southampton, September 1: the model's pick was Birmingham to win (39%) and it missed.
- Stoke City 1–0 Norwich, September 1: the model's pick was Norwich to win (48%) and it missed.
- Millwall 0–3 Wrexham, September 2: the model's pick was Millwall to win (42%) and it missed.
- West Brom 1–1 Charlton, September 2: the model's pick was West Brom to win (48%) and it missed.
- QPR 2–1 Cardiff, September 2: the model's pick was QPR to win (52%) and it came in.
- Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough, September 2: the model's pick was Middlesbrough to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Championship Matchday 4 played?
From September 1 to September 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Sheffield Utd - Bolton: Sheffield Utd to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.