Championship · 2026/27
Championship Matchday 3 predictions
12 fixtures from August 28 to August 29. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 29 · 11:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 28
1X2
Saturday, August 29
1X2- 4–1
Wolves#4
Stoke City#964%23%13%✓ Hit - 0–3
Derby#23
Swansea#239%29%32%✗ Miss - 3–1
Middlesbrough#1
West Brom#550%27%23%✓ Hit - 1–1
Watford#21
West Ham#329%28%43%✗ Miss - 5–1
Southampton#6
Millwall#1346%29%25%✓ Hit - 2–2
Cardiff#16
Sheffield Utd#1234%27%39%✗ Miss - 2–1
Bristol City#14
Portsmouth#1140%30%30%✓ Hit - 1–2
Blackburn#10
QPR#840%28%32%✗ Miss - 0–1
Bolton#18
Lincoln#1540%30%30%✗ Miss - 4–1
Norwich#20
Burnley#2235%26%39%✗ Miss - 1–0
Charlton#19
Preston#2445%31%24%✓ Hit
Championship Matchday 3 runs from August 28 to August 29 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Wolves - Stoke City: Wolves to win at 64%. The tightest match is Derby - Swansea, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham, August 28: the model's pick was Wrexham to win (40%) and it missed.
- Wolves 4–1 Stoke City, August 29: the model's pick was Wolves to win (64%) and it came in.
- Derby 0–3 Swansea, August 29: the model's pick was Derby to win (39%) and it missed.
- Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom, August 29: the model's pick was Middlesbrough to win (50%) and it came in.
- Watford 1–1 West Ham, August 29: the model's pick was West Ham to win (43%) and it missed.
- Southampton 5–1 Millwall, August 29: the model's pick was Southampton to win (46%) and it came in.
- Cardiff 2–2 Sheffield Utd, August 29: the model's pick was Sheffield Utd to win (39%) and it missed.
- Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth, August 29: the model's pick was Bristol City to win (40%) and it came in.
- Blackburn 1–2 QPR, August 29: the model's pick was Blackburn to win (40%) and it missed.
- Bolton 0–1 Lincoln, August 29: the model's pick was Bolton to win (40%) and it missed.
- Norwich 4–1 Burnley, August 29: the model's pick was Burnley to win (39%) and it missed.
- Charlton 1–0 Preston, August 29: the model's pick was Charlton to win (45%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Championship Matchday 3 played?
From August 28 to August 29. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Wolves - Stoke City: Wolves to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.