Championship · 2026/27
Championship Matchday 1 predictions
12 fixtures from August 14 to August 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 15 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 14
1X2
Saturday, August 15
1X2- 2–1
Bolton#18
Preston#2441%30%29%✓ Hit - 0–2
Bristol City#14
Millwall#1338%27%35%✗ Miss - 2–1
Middlesbrough#1
Lincoln#1570%19%11%✓ Hit - 1–2
Norwich#20
West Brom#549%28%23%✗ Miss - 1–2
Stoke City#9
Swansea#240%29%31%✗ Miss - 2–1
Charlton#19
Derby#2334%29%37%✗ Miss - 1–3
Portsmouth#11
QPR#840%29%31%✗ Miss - 0–0
Sheffield Utd#12
Birmingham#740%29%31%✗ Miss
Sunday, August 16
1X2
Monday, August 17
1X2
Championship Matchday 1 runs from August 14 to August 17 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Middlesbrough - Lincoln: Middlesbrough to win at 70%. The tightest match is Charlton - Derby, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Wolves 2–2 Blackburn, August 14: the model's pick was Wolves to win (64%) and it missed.
- Bolton 2–1 Preston, August 15: the model's pick was Bolton to win (41%) and it came in.
- Bristol City 0–2 Millwall, August 15: the model's pick was Bristol City to win (38%) and it missed.
- Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln, August 15: the model's pick was Middlesbrough to win (70%) and it came in.
- Norwich 1–2 West Brom, August 15: the model's pick was Norwich to win (49%) and it missed.
- Stoke City 1–2 Swansea, August 15: the model's pick was Stoke City to win (40%) and it missed.
- Charlton 2–1 Derby, August 15: the model's pick was Derby to win (37%) and it missed.
- Portsmouth 1–3 QPR, August 15: the model's pick was Portsmouth to win (40%) and it missed.
- Sheffield Utd 0–0 Birmingham, August 15: the model's pick was Sheffield Utd to win (40%) and it missed.
- Watford 2–1 Southampton, August 16: the model's pick was Southampton to win (44%) and it missed.
- Burnley 2–2 West Ham, August 16: the model's pick was West Ham to win (45%) and it missed.
- Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham, August 17: the model's pick was Cardiff to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Championship Matchday 1 played?
From August 14 to August 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Middlesbrough - Lincoln: Middlesbrough to win at 70% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.