Championship · 2026/27

Championship Matchday 1 predictions

12 fixtures from August 14 to August 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, August 15 · 14:00

Norwich#9

1–2

West Brom#2
1 · 49%X · 28%2 · 23%
Norwich to win · 49%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 14

  1. 2–2
    Wolves#11
    Blackburn#18
    64%24%12%

Saturday, August 15

  1. 2–1
    Bolton#21
    Preston#24
    41%30%29%
  2. 0–2
    Bristol City#7
    Millwall#8
    38%27%35%
  3. 2–1
    Middlesbrough#6
    Lincoln#19
    70%19%11%
  4. 1–2
    Norwich#9
    West Brom#2
    49%28%23%
  5. 1–2
    Stoke City#15
    Swansea#3
    40%29%31%
  6. 2–1
    Charlton#5
    Derby#22
    34%29%37%
  7. 1–3
    Portsmouth#17
    QPR#4
    40%29%31%
  8. 0–0
    Sheffield Utd#10
    Birmingham#14
    40%29%31%

Sunday, August 16

  1. 2–1
    Watford#12
    Southampton#13
    28%28%44%
  2. 2–2
    Burnley#23
    West Ham#1
    25%30%45%

Monday, August 17

  1. 1–1
    Cardiff#20
    Wrexham#16
    40%27%33%

Championship Matchday 1 runs from August 14 to August 17 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Middlesbrough - Lincoln: Middlesbrough to win at 70%. The tightest match is Charlton - Derby, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Championship predictions →Championship table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 1 FAQ

When is Championship Matchday 1 played?

From August 14 to August 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?

Middlesbrough - Lincoln: Middlesbrough to win at 70% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.