Championship · 2026/27
Championship Matchday 5 predictions
12 fixtures from September 5 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 5 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, September 5
1X2- 2–1
Preston#24
Blackburn#1034%28%38%✗ Miss - 4–0
Stoke City#9
Charlton#1940%31%29%✓ Hit - 1–1
Lincoln#15
Southampton#619%27%54%✗ Miss - 1–2
Burnley#22
Bristol City#1446%28%26%✗ Miss - 3–0
West Ham#3
Derby#2374%18%8%✓ Hit - 4–0
Millwall#13
Bolton#1862%23%15%✓ Hit - 1–0
West Brom#5
Watford#2149%29%22%✓ Hit - 1–3
Sheffield Utd#12
Norwich#2041%30%29%✗ Miss - 0–1
QPR#8
Middlesbrough#130%30%40%✓ Hit - 2–0
Portsmouth#11
Cardiff#1639%28%33%✓ Hit - 0–0
Swansea#2
Wrexham#1740%29%31%✗ Miss
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Championship Matchday 5 runs from September 5 to September 6 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is West Ham - Derby: West Ham to win at 74%. The tightest match is Preston - Blackburn, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Preston 2–1 Blackburn, September 5: the model's pick was Blackburn to win (38%) and it missed.
- Stoke City 4–0 Charlton, September 5: the model's pick was Stoke City to win (40%) and it came in.
- Lincoln 1–1 Southampton, September 5: the model's pick was Southampton to win (54%) and it missed.
- Burnley 1–2 Bristol City, September 5: the model's pick was Burnley to win (46%) and it missed.
- West Ham 3–0 Derby, September 5: the model's pick was West Ham to win (74%) and it came in.
- Millwall 4–0 Bolton, September 5: the model's pick was Millwall to win (62%) and it came in.
- West Brom 1–0 Watford, September 5: the model's pick was West Brom to win (49%) and it came in.
- Sheffield Utd 1–3 Norwich, September 5: the model's pick was Sheffield Utd to win (41%) and it missed.
- QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough, September 5: the model's pick was Middlesbrough to win (40%) and it came in.
- Portsmouth 2–0 Cardiff, September 5: the model's pick was Portsmouth to win (39%) and it came in.
- Swansea 0–0 Wrexham, September 5: the model's pick was Swansea to win (40%) and it missed.
- Birmingham 2–2 Wolves, September 6: the model's pick was Wolves to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Championship Matchday 5 played?
From September 5 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
West Ham - Derby: West Ham to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.