Championship · 2026/27

Championship Matchday 5 predictions

12 fixtures from September 5 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 5 · 14:00

QPR#4

0–1

Middlesbrough#6
1 · 30%X · 30%2 · 40%
Middlesbrough to win · 40%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, September 5

  1. 2–1
    Preston#24
    Blackburn#18
    34%28%38%
  2. 4–0
    Stoke City#16
    Charlton#5
    40%31%29%
  3. 1–1
    Lincoln#19
    Southampton#13
    19%27%54%
  4. 1–2
    Burnley#23
    Bristol City#7
    46%28%26%
  5. 3–0
    West Ham#2
    Derby#22
    74%18%8%
  6. 4–0
    Millwall#8
    Bolton#21
    62%23%15%
  7. 1–0
    West Brom#1
    Watford#12
    49%29%22%
  8. 1–3
    Sheffield Utd#10
    Norwich#9
    41%30%29%
  9. 0–1
    QPR#4
    Middlesbrough#6
    30%30%40%
  10. 2–0
    Portsmouth#17
    Cardiff#20
    39%28%33%
  11. 0–0
    Swansea#3
    Wrexham#14
    40%29%31%

Sunday, September 6

  1. 2–2
    Birmingham#15
    Wolves#11
    29%31%40%

Championship Matchday 5 runs from September 5 to September 6 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is West Ham - Derby: West Ham to win at 74%. The tightest match is Preston - Blackburn, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Championship predictions →Championship table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is Championship Matchday 5 played?

From September 5 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

West Ham - Derby: West Ham to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.