Who Will Win Championship?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Championship 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Middlesbrough wins Championship in 68.2% of 2,000 season simulations.
Birmingham — 8.2% title chance.
Preston goes down in 99.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 28 | 68.2% | 96.2% | <0.1% | 92 |
| 2 |  Birmingham | 14 | 26 | 8.2% | 59.5% | <0.1% | 82 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 24 | 6% | 45.5% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 26 | 5% | 43% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 26 | 4.7% | 44.3% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 24 | 3.5% | 36.4% | <0.1% | 79 |
| 7 |  West Ham | 13 | 22 | 2.8% | 33% | <0.1% | 78 |
| 8 |  West Brom | 14 | 25 | 1.8% | 29% | <0.1% | 78 |
| 9 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 22 | 0.1% | 4.6% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 10 |  QPR | 14 | 21 | 0.1% | 3.1% | <0.1% | 69 |
| 11 |  Sheffield Utd | 14 | 22 | <0.1% | 4.9% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 13 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 63 |
| 13 |  Norwich | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 62 |
| 14 |  Millwall | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 61 |
| 15 |  Blackburn | 14 | 18 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 60 |
| 16 |  Bolton | 14 | 17 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1% | 57 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.7% | 55 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4% | 53 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6% | 52 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 11.8% | 49 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 12.7% | 49 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 64.7% | 42 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 97% | 33 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.5% | 29 |
Next Championship fixtures — with AI predictions
- Cardiff – West HamWed, Nov 4AI prediction
- Wrexham – MiddlesbroughWed, Nov 4AI prediction
- Bristol City – WolvesWed, Nov 4AI prediction
- Derby – BoltonFri, Nov 6AI prediction
- Bristol City – NorwichSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Portsmouth – Stoke CitySat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Wrexham – WolvesSat, Nov 7AI prediction
- Watford – MiddlesbroughSat, Nov 7AI prediction
Methodology
Every remaining Championship fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Championship in 2026/27?
Middlesbrough wins Championship in 68.2% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.