Who Will Win Championship?
2,000 season simulations · 552 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Championship 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
West Ham wins Championship in 34.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Middlesbrough — 31.1% title chance.
Burnley goes down in 84.1% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham | 7 | 14 | 34.7% | 85.6% | <0.1% | 89 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 6 | 13 | 31.1% | 83.1% | <0.1% | 89 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 7 | 14 | 15.6% | 71.7% | <0.1% | 86 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 7 | 14 | 10.4% | 60.2% | <0.1% | 84 |
| 5 |  Wolves | 6 | 11 | 4.9% | 41.2% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 7 | 10 | 1.1% | 11.7% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 7 |  QPR | 7 | 12 | 0.8% | 19.2% | <0.1% | 76 |
| 8 |  Charlton | 7 | 12 | 0.7% | 10.6% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 9 |  Bristol City | 6 | 10 | 0.4% | 8.1% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 6 | 9 | 0.2% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 68 |
| 11 |  Birmingham | 7 | 10 | 0.2% | 2.2% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 12 |  Stoke City | 7 | 10 | 0.1% | 1.7% | <0.1% | 65 |
| 13 |  Lincoln | 6 | 8 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 62 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 7 | 9 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 61 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 7 | 9 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 62 |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 7 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.3% | 58 |
| 17 |  Portsmouth | 6 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 58 |
| 18 |  Watford | 7 | 8 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 57 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 7 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.7% | 51 |
| 20 |  Bolton | 7 | 7 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 6.7% | 51 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 7 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 47.7% | 41 |
| 22 |  Derby | 7 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 66.1% | 38 |
| 23 |  Preston | 7 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 83.2% | 35 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 7 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 84.1% | 34 |
Next Championship fixtures — with AI predictions
- Bristol City – WatfordFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Cardiff – CharltonSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Millwall – West HamSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Stoke City – Sheffield UtdSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Burnley – DerbySat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Birmingham – MiddlesbroughSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- QPR – PrestonSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Portsmouth – BlackburnSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Championship fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Championship in 2026/27?
West Ham wins Championship in 34.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.