Championship · 2026/27
Championship Matchday 11 predictions
12 fixtures from October 16 to October 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 14:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2- 11:30
Watford#20
Charlton#935%27%38%Correct score - 11:30
Millwall#11
Lincoln#1242%26%32%Correct score - 11:30
Middlesbrough#3
Cardiff#2175%14%11%Correct score - 14:00
Southampton#13
Bolton#1566%18%16%Correct score - 14:00
Birmingham#10
QPR#637%28%35%Correct score - 14:00
Bristol City#8
Sheffield Utd#1849%23%28%Correct score - 14:00
West Brom#5
Blackburn#1665%18%17%Correct score - 14:00
Derby#22
Stoke City#725%21%54%Correct score - 14:00
Norwich#17
Portsmouth#1950%22%28%Correct score - 14:00
Swansea#1
West Ham#239%27%34%Correct score - 14:00
Wrexham#14
Preston#2359%19%22%Correct score
Championship Matchday 11 runs from October 16 to October 17 with 12 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Middlesbrough - Cardiff: Middlesbrough to win at 75%. The tightest match is Birmingham - QPR, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Burnley vs Wolves, October 16: the model's pick is Wolves to win (69%).
- Watford vs Charlton, October 17: the model's pick is Charlton to win (38%).
- Millwall vs Lincoln, October 17: the model's pick is Millwall to win (42%).
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff, October 17: the model's pick is Middlesbrough to win (75%).
- Southampton vs Bolton, October 17: the model's pick is Southampton to win (66%).
- Birmingham vs QPR, October 17: the model's pick is Birmingham to win (37%).
- Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd, October 17: the model's pick is Bristol City to win (49%).
- West Brom vs Blackburn, October 17: the model's pick is West Brom to win (65%).
- Derby vs Stoke City, October 17: the model's pick is Stoke City to win (54%).
- Norwich vs Portsmouth, October 17: the model's pick is Norwich to win (50%).
- Swansea vs West Ham, October 17: the model's pick is Swansea to win (39%).
- Wrexham vs Preston, October 17: the model's pick is Wrexham to win (59%).
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Championship Matchday 11 played?
From October 16 to October 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Middlesbrough - Cardiff: Middlesbrough to win at 75% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.