Serie B · 2026/27
Italy Serie B Matchday 4 predictions
10 fixtures from September 11 to September 13. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 12 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Saturday, September 12
1X2
Sunday, September 13
1X2
Serie B Matchday 4 runs from September 11 to September 13 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Pisa - Virtus Entella: Pisa to win at 57%. The tightest match is Sudtirol - Modena, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Empoli 0–1 Arezzo, September 11: the model's pick was Empoli to win (53%) and it missed.
- Benevento 3–1 Hellas Verona, September 11: the model's pick was Hellas Verona to win (42%) and it missed.
- Pisa 1–4 Virtus Entella, September 11: the model's pick was Pisa to win (57%) and it missed.
- Padova 1–0 Ascoli, September 12: the model's pick was Padova to win (40%) and it came in.
- Sudtirol 1–1 Modena, September 12: the model's pick was Modena to win (38%) and it missed.
- Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Juve Stabia, September 12: the model's pick was Vicenza Virtus to win (46%) and it missed.
- Catanzaro 1–0 Carrarese, September 12: the model's pick was Catanzaro to win (49%) and it came in.
- Cesena 2–2 Cremonese, September 12: the model's pick was Cremonese to win (40%) and it missed.
- Avellino 1–1 Palermo, September 13: the model's pick was Palermo to win (40%) and it missed.
- Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria, September 13: the model's pick was Mantova to win (43%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Serie B Matchday 4 played?
From September 11 to September 13. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Pisa - Virtus Entella: Pisa to win at 57% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.