Who Will Win Italy Serie B?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Serie B 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Palermo wins Serie B in 67.7% of 2,000 season simulations.
Ascoli — 11.9% title chance.
Juve Stabia goes down in 83.9% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 4 | 10 | 67.7% | 94.8% | <0.1% | 72 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 4 | 7 | 11.9% | 63.1% | 0.2% | 63 |
| 3 |  Modena | 4 | 7 | 5.2% | 43% | 1.2% | 59 |
| 4 |  Pisa | 4 | 6 | 3% | 32.9% | 1.5% | 57 |
| 5 |  Catanzaro | 4 | 3 | 2.8% | 31.7% | 2.2% | 57 |
| 6 |  Cesena | 5 | 7 | 2.6% | 27.4% | 2.5% | 56 |
| 7 |  Mantova | 4 | 10 | 1.8% | 22.2% | 3.2% | 55 |
| 8 |  Arezzo | 4 | 6 | 1.4% | 17.5% | 4.5% | 54 |
| 9 |  Avellino | 4 | 7 | 1% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 53 |
| 10 |  Padova | 4 | 7 | 0.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 52 |
| 11 |  Vicenza Virtus | 4 | 5 | 0.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 51 |
| 12 |  Sudtirol | 4 | 8 | 0.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 51 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 4 | 4 | 0.4% | 6.2% | 14% | 50 |
| 14 |  Empoli | 4 | 6 | 0.2% | 5.3% | 15.1% | 49 |
| 15 |  Benevento | 4 | 4 | 0.2% | 4.5% | 18.6% | 48 |
| 16 |  Virtus Entella | 4 | 4 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 23.4% | 47 |
| 17 |  Cremonese | 4 | 4 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 29.2% | 46 |
| 18 |  Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 0.1% | 2.2% | 30.5% | 46 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 4 | 1 | <0.1% | 1.8% | 35.6% | 45 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 5 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 83.9% | 35 |
Next Serie B fixtures — with AI predictions
- Hellas Verona – Vicenza VirtusSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Arezzo – SudtirolSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Mantova – PisaSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Modena – EmpoliSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Benevento – CesenaSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Empoli – PalermoSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Virtus Entella – Juve StabiaSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
- Avellino – SampdoriaSat, Oct 10AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Serie B fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Serie B in 2026/27?
Palermo wins Serie B in 67.7% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.