Serie B · 2026/27
Italy Serie B Matchday 6 predictions
10 fixtures from October 9 to October 11. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 10 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 9
1X2Saturday, October 10
1X2Serie B Matchday 6 runs from October 9 to October 11 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Padova - Carrarese: Padova to win at 51%. The tightest match is Avellino - Sampdoria, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Avellino 4–1 Sampdoria, October 9: the model's pick was Avellino to win (40%) and it came in.
- Benevento 2–0 Cesena, October 10: the model's pick was Benevento to win (40%) and it came in.
- Empoli 2–4 Palermo, October 10: the model's pick was Palermo to win (49%) and it came in.
- Virtus Entella 1–1 Juve Stabia, October 10: the model's pick was Virtus Entella to win (42%) and it missed.
- Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli, October 10: the model's pick was Sudtirol to win (40%) and it missed.
- Vicenza Virtus 0–3 Pisa, October 10: the model's pick was Pisa to win (40%) and it came in.
- Arezzo 0–0 Cremonese, October 10: the model's pick was Cremonese to win (41%) and it missed.
- Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova, October 11: the model's pick was Catanzaro to win (40%) and it missed.
- Padova 0–2 Carrarese, October 11: the model's pick was Padova to win (51%) and it missed.
- Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona, October 11: the model's pick was Modena to win (47%) and it came in.
Matchday 6 FAQ
When is Serie B Matchday 6 played?
From October 9 to October 11. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 6?
Padova - Carrarese: Padova to win at 51% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















