Serie B · 2026/27
Italy Serie B Matchday 5 predictions
10 fixtures from September 18 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 19 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 18
1X2
Saturday, September 19
1X2
Serie B Matchday 5 runs from September 18 to September 20 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Palermo - Padova: Palermo to win at 64%. The tightest match is Carrarese - Benevento, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Juve Stabia 1–1 Cesena, September 18: the model's pick was Juve Stabia to win (37%) and it missed.
- Cremonese 0–0 Virtus Entella, September 19: the model's pick was Cremonese to win (40%) and it missed.
- Palermo 2–1 Padova, September 19: the model's pick was Palermo to win (64%) and it came in.
- Carrarese 0–1 Benevento, September 19: the model's pick was Benevento to win (35%) and it came in.
- Sampdoria 2–1 Catanzaro, September 19: the model's pick was Sampdoria to win (43%) and it came in.
- Ascoli 3–1 Avellino, September 19: the model's pick was Ascoli to win (43%) and it came in.
- Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus, September 20: the model's pick was Hellas Verona to win (51%) and it came in.
- Arezzo 1–4 Sudtirol, September 20: the model's pick was Arezzo to win (40%) and it missed.
- Mantova 2–2 Pisa, September 20: the model's pick was Pisa to win (40%) and it missed.
- Modena 2–1 Empoli, September 20: the model's pick was Modena to win (57%) and it came in.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Serie B Matchday 5 played?
From September 18 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Palermo - Padova: Palermo to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.