Serie B · 2026/27
Italy Serie B Matchday 3 predictions
10 fixtures from September 5 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 5 · 15:15
Every fixture this round
Saturday, September 5
1X2
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Monday, September 7
1X2
Serie B Matchday 3 runs from September 5 to September 7 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Palermo - Sampdoria: Palermo to win at 56%. The tightest match is Sudtirol - Catanzaro, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Sudtirol 2–0 Catanzaro, September 5: the model's pick was Sudtirol to win (40%) and it came in.
- Ascoli 1–0 Benevento, September 5: the model's pick was Ascoli to win (40%) and it came in.
- Carrarese 0–1 Empoli, September 5: the model's pick was Carrarese to win (40%) and it missed.
- Cesena 1–1 Mantova, September 6: the model's pick was Mantova to win (40%) and it missed.
- Virtus Entella 2–2 Vicenza Virtus, September 6: the model's pick was Virtus Entella to win (41%) and it missed.
- Juve Stabia 0–3 Pisa, September 6: the model's pick was Pisa to win (40%) and it came in.
- Modena 0–1 Avellino, September 6: the model's pick was Modena to win (50%) and it missed.
- Hellas Verona 5–0 Arezzo, September 6: the model's pick was Hellas Verona to win (40%) and it came in.
- Cremonese 3–1 Padova, September 6: the model's pick was Cremonese to win (40%) and it came in.
- Palermo 3–1 Sampdoria, September 7: the model's pick was Palermo to win (56%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Serie B Matchday 3 played?
From September 5 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Palermo - Sampdoria: Palermo to win at 56% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.