Serie B · 2026/27
Italy Serie B Matchday 1 predictions
10 fixtures from August 21 to August 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 22 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 21
1X2
Saturday, August 22
1X2
Serie B Matchday 1 runs from August 21 to August 23 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Hellas Verona - Ascoli: Hellas Verona to win at 53%. The tightest match is Vicenza Virtus - Catanzaro, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Vicenza Virtus 3–2 Catanzaro, August 21: the model's pick was Vicenza Virtus to win (38%) and it came in.
- Sudtirol 1–0 Virtus Entella, August 22: the model's pick was Sudtirol to win (41%) and it came in.
- Carrarese 1–2 Mantova, August 22: the model's pick was Carrarese to win (40%) and it missed.
- Benevento 1–2 Modena, August 22: the model's pick was Benevento to win (41%) and it missed.
- Empoli 1–0 Cremonese, August 22: the model's pick was Empoli to win (39%) and it came in.
- Avellino 1–2 Arezzo, August 22: the model's pick was Avellino to win (40%) and it missed.
- Hellas Verona 1–2 Ascoli, August 23: the model's pick was Hellas Verona to win (53%) and it missed.
- Pisa 0–1 Padova, August 23: the model's pick was Pisa to win (49%) and it missed.
- Cesena 1–1 Sampdoria, August 23: the model's pick was Cesena to win (40%) and it missed.
- Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia, August 23: the model's pick was Palermo to win (50%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Serie B Matchday 1 played?
From August 21 to August 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Hellas Verona - Ascoli: Hellas Verona to win at 53% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.