FKF Premier League · 2026/27
FKF Premier League Matchday 11 predictions
9 fixtures from December 5 to December 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, December 6 · 12:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, December 5
1X2
FKF Premier League Matchday 11 runs from December 5 to December 6 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Tusker - Mombasa Elite: Tusker to win at 67%. The tightest match is Murang'a SEAL - Shabana, where no outcome clears 42%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- KCB vs Mara Sugar, December 5: the model's pick is KCB to win (46%).
- Homeboyz vs Migori Youth, December 5: the model's pick is Homeboyz to win (53%).
- Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana, December 5: the model's pick is Murang'a SEAL to win (42%).
- Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars, December 5: the model's pick is Nairobi United to win (50%).
- Tusker vs Mombasa Elite, December 5: the model's pick is Tusker to win (67%).
- 3K vs Mathare United, December 6: the model's pick is 3K to win (49%).
- Bandari vs Kenya Police, December 6: the model's pick is Bandari to win (51%).
- GOR Mahia vs AFC Leopards, December 6: the model's pick is GOR Mahia to win (55%).
- APS Bomet vs Posta Rangers FC, December 6: the model's pick is APS Bomet to win (54%).
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is FKF Premier League Matchday 11 played?
From December 5 to December 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Tusker - Mombasa Elite: Tusker to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.