FKF Premier League · 2026/27
FKF Premier League Matchday 1 predictions
9 fixtures from October 10 to October 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Tuesday, October 13 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 10
1X2
Sunday, October 11
1X2
Tuesday, October 13
1X2Wednesday, October 14
1X2
FKF Premier League Matchday 1 runs from October 10 to October 14 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is GOR Mahia - Murang'a SEAL: GOR Mahia to win at 64%. The tightest match is Posta Rangers FC - Shabana, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Mathare United 0–0 APS Bomet, October 10: the model's pick was Mathare United to win (40%) and it missed.
- Posta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana, October 10: the model's pick was Shabana to win (39%) and it came in.
- Ulinzi Stars 0–2 Tusker, October 11: the model's pick was Tusker to win (45%) and it came in.
- 3K 2–2 Mara Sugar, October 11: the model's pick was 3K to win (45%) and it missed.
- Migori Youth 1–1 Police, October 11: the model's pick was Police to win (40%) and it missed.
- Nairobi United 2–2 KCB, October 11: the model's pick was Nairobi United to win (49%) and it missed.
- GOR Mahia 4–2 Murang'a SEAL, October 13: the model's pick was GOR Mahia to win (64%) and it came in.
- Mombasa Elite 0–1 Homeboyz, October 14: the model's pick was Homeboyz to win (41%) and it came in.
- AFC Leopards 0–0 Bandari, October 14: the model's pick was AFC Leopards to win (42%) and it missed.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is FKF Premier League Matchday 1 played?
From October 10 to October 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
GOR Mahia - Murang'a SEAL: GOR Mahia to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.