FKF Premier League · 2026/27
FKF Premier League Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from November 1 to November 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, November 1 · 13:15
Every fixture this round
Sunday, November 1
1X2FKF Premier League Matchday 5 runs from November 1 to November 2 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is GOR Mahia - KCB: GOR Mahia to win at 52%. The tightest match is Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- AFC Leopards 2–0 Homeboyz, November 1: the model's pick was AFC Leopards to win (40%) and it came in.
- Migori Youth 2–0 Mombasa Elite, November 1: the model's pick was Migori Youth to win (49%) and it came in.
- APS Bomet 0–0 Murang'a SEAL, November 1: the model's pick was APS Bomet to win (40%) and it missed.
- Nairobi United 1–1 Bandari, November 1: the model's pick was Nairobi United to win (44%) and it missed.
- GOR Mahia 1–2 KCB, November 1: the model's pick was GOR Mahia to win (52%) and it missed.
- Ulinzi Stars 2–1 Mathare United, November 2: the model's pick was Ulinzi Stars to win (37%) and it came in.
- Posta Rangers FC 1–2 3K, November 2: the model's pick was Posta Rangers FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Tusker 3–1 Mara Sugar, November 2: the model's pick was Tusker to win (40%) and it came in.
- Shabana 0–1 Police, November 2: the model's pick was Shabana to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is FKF Premier League Matchday 5 played?
From November 1 to November 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
GOR Mahia - KCB: GOR Mahia to win at 52% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















