FKF Premier League · 2026/27
FKF Premier League Matchday 3 predictions
9 fixtures from September 11 to October 25. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 25 · 11:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 11
1X2
Friday, October 23
1X2
Saturday, October 24
1X2
FKF Premier League Matchday 3 runs from September 11 to October 25 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
Match by match
- Tusker vs Homeboyz, September 11: the model's pick is Homeboyz to win (37%).
- Posta Rangers FC 1–0 KCB, October 23: the model's pick was KCB to win (41%) and it missed.
- Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Mara Sugar, October 24: the model's pick was Mara Sugar to win (42%) and it missed.
- GOR Mahia 1–0 Bandari, October 24: the model's pick was GOR Mahia to win (67%) and it came in.
- 3K 2–1 Murang'a SEAL, October 25: the model's pick was Murang'a SEAL to win (40%) and it missed.
- Mombasa Elite 0–0 Police, October 25: the model's pick was Police to win (42%) and it missed.
- Nairobi United 1–1 APS Bomet, October 25: the model's pick was Nairobi United to win (52%) and it missed.
- AFC Leopards 0–0 Shabana, October 25: the model's pick was AFC Leopards to win (42%) and it missed.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is FKF Premier League Matchday 3 played?
From September 11 to October 25. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Tusker - Homeboyz: Homeboyz to win at 37% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.