Who Will Win FKF Premier League?
2,000 season simulations · 342 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the FKF Premier League 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
GOR Mahia wins FKF Premier League in 97.2% of 2,000 season simulations.
Tusker — 1.6% title chance.
Mombasa Elite goes down in 90% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 4 | 12 | 97.2% | 100% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 2 |  Tusker | 1 | 3 | 1.6% | 62% | 0.1% | 61 |
| 3 |  KCB | 4 | 7 | 0.7% | 59% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 4 |  Shabana | 3 | 5 | 0.2% | 36.4% | 0.4% | 56 |
| 5 |  Murang'a SEAL | 4 | 6 | 0.2% | 31.2% | 0.8% | 55 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 4 | 6 | 0.1% | 29.1% | 0.8% | 55 |
| 7 |  AFC Leopards | 4 | 6 | 0.1% | 26.8% | 0.7% | 55 |
| 8 |  3K | 4 | 5 | 0.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 47 |
| 9 |  APS Bomet | 4 | 5 | <0.1% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 51 |
| 10 |  Homeboyz | 3 | 4 | <0.1% | 14% | 2.4% | 51 |
| 11 |  Police | 1 | 1 | <0.1% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 49 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 2 | <0.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 48 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 4 | 4 | <0.1% | 1.2% | 24.6% | 41 |
| 14 |  Kenya Police | 3 | 2 | <0.1% | 0.8% | 28.5% | 41 |
| 15 |  Mathare United | 3 | 2 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 27.1% | 41 |
| 16 |  Bandari | 4 | 3 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 34.6% | 40 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 2 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 32.1% | 40 |
| 18 |  Nairobi United | 4 | 3 | <0.1% | 0.7% | 37.2% | 39 |
| 19 |  Mombasa Elite | 4 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 90% | 29 |
Next FKF Premier League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Mathare United – TuskerThu, Oct 29AI prediction →
- Police – Ulinzi StarsThu, Oct 29AI prediction →
- Bandari – Mathare UnitedSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Homeboyz – ShabanaSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- GOR Mahia – Mombasa EliteSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Ulinzi Stars – AFC LeopardsSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Tusker – Posta Rangers FCSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- APS Bomet – Migori YouthSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining FKF Premier League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win FKF Premier League in 2026/27?
GOR Mahia wins FKF Premier League in 97.2% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.