Who Will Win FKF Premier League?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the FKF Premier League 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Mathare United wins FKF Premier League in 6.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Shabana — 6.2% title chance.
Mara Sugar goes down in 18.3% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 6.3% | 23.4% | 16% | 47 |
| 2 |  Shabana | 0 | 0 | 6.2% | 21.9% | 17.1% | 47 |
| 3 |  Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 6.1% | 23.5% | 16% | 47 |
| 4 |  Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 6.1% | 22.1% | 16% | 47 |
| 5 |  APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 47 |
| 6 |  3K | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 47 |
| 7 |  KCB | 0 | 0 | 5.8% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 47 |
| 8 |  Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 5.8% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 47 |
| 9 |  Police | 0 | 0 | 5.7% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 47 |
| 10 |  Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 5.7% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 47 |
| 11 |  GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | 24.1% | 15.1% | 47 |
| 12 |  Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 47 |
| 13 |  Bandari | 0 | 0 | 5.4% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 47 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 0 | 0 | 5.2% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 47 |
| 15 |  Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 5.1% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 47 |
| 16 |  Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 5.1% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 47 |
| 17 |  AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 4.6% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 47 |
| 18 |  Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 4.3% | 22.9% | 15.1% | 47 |
Next FKF Premier League fixtures — with AI predictions
- Bandari – Posta Rangers FCFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Homeboyz – GOR MahiaFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Mathare United – TuskerFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- KCB – Mombasa EliteFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Police – Ulinzi StarsFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- APS Bomet – 3KFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Mara Sugar – AFC LeopardsFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- Murang'a SEAL – Nairobi UnitedFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining FKF Premier League fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win FKF Premier League in 2026/27?
Mathare United wins FKF Premier League in 6.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.