FKF Premier League · 2026/27
FKF Premier League Matchday 4 predictions
9 fixtures from October 28 to October 29. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, October 28 · 13:15
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, October 28
1X2
FKF Premier League Matchday 4 runs from October 28 to October 29 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is KCB - Mombasa Elite: KCB to win at 53%. The tightest match is Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Bandari 0–0 Posta Rangers FC, October 28: the model's pick was Bandari to win (42%) and it missed.
- Homeboyz 0–1 GOR Mahia, October 28: the model's pick was GOR Mahia to win (42%) and it came in.
- KCB 3–1 Mombasa Elite, October 28: the model's pick was KCB to win (53%) and it came in.
- APS Bomet 3–0 3K, October 28: the model's pick was APS Bomet to win (39%) and it came in.
- Murang'a SEAL 3–2 Nairobi United, October 28: the model's pick was Murang'a SEAL to win (40%) and it came in.
- Mara Sugar 0–0 AFC Leopards, October 28: the model's pick was AFC Leopards to win (36%) and it missed.
- Shabana 1–1 Migori Youth, October 29: the model's pick was Shabana to win (45%) and it missed.
- Mathare United 2–1 Tusker, October 29: the model's pick was Tusker to win (40%) and it missed.
- Police 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, October 29: the model's pick was Police to win (52%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is FKF Premier League Matchday 4 played?
From October 28 to October 29. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
KCB - Mombasa Elite: KCB to win at 53% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.