HNL · 2026/27
HNL Matchday 16 predictions
5 fixtures from December 5 to December 5. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, December 5 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, December 5
1X2HNL Matchday 16 runs from December 5 to December 5 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is NK Varazdin - HNK Gorica: NK Varazdin to win at 72%. The tightest match is Rudes - Istra 1961, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, December 5: the model's pick is HNK Rijeka to win (64%).
- Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Osijek, December 5: the model's pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win (57%).
- NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Hajduk Split, December 5: the model's pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win (64%).
- Rudes vs Istra 1961, December 5: the model's pick is Istra 1961 to win (39%).
- NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica, December 5: the model's pick is NK Varazdin to win (72%).
Matchday 16 FAQ
When is HNL Matchday 16 played?
From December 5 to December 5. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?
NK Varazdin - HNK Gorica: NK Varazdin to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









