Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 12 predictions
10 fixtures from April 18 to April 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, April 19 · 21:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, April 18
1X2
Série A Matchday 12 runs from April 18 to April 19 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Flamengo - Bahia: Flamengo to win at 59%. The tightest match is Coritiba - Atletico-MG, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Botafogo, April 18: the model's pick was Botafogo to win (43%) and it came in.
- Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo, April 18: the model's pick was Vasco DA Gama to win (44%) and it came in.
- Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians, April 18: the model's pick was Vitoria to win (39%) and it missed.
- Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio, April 18: the model's pick was Cruzeiro to win (53%) and it came in.
- Internacional 1–2 Mirassol, April 19: the model's pick was Internacional to win (52%) and it missed.
- Santos 2–3 Fluminense, April 19: the model's pick was Draw (36%) and it missed.
- Coritiba 2–0 Atletico-MG, April 19: the model's pick was Draw (35%) and it missed.
- Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, April 19: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (55%) and it came in.
- RB Bragantino 4–2 Remo, April 19: the model's pick was RB Bragantino to win (57%) and it came in.
- Flamengo 2–0 Bahia, April 19: the model's pick was Flamengo to win (59%) and it came in.
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 12 played?
From April 18 to April 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
Flamengo - Bahia: Flamengo to win at 59% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.