Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 16 predictions
10 fixtures from May 16 to May 17. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, May 17 · 00:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 16
1X2
Sunday, May 17
1X2
Série A Matchday 16 runs from May 16 to May 17 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is RB Bragantino - Vitoria: RB Bragantino to win at 55%. The tightest match is Atletico Paranaense - Flamengo, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Atletico-MG 3–1 Mirassol, May 16: the model's pick was Atletico-MG to win (37%) and it came in.
- Internacional 4–1 Vasco DA Gama, May 16: the model's pick was Internacional to win (38%) and it came in.
- Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo, May 16: the model's pick was Fluminense to win (51%) and it came in.
- Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro, May 17: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (50%) and it missed.
- Santos 0–3 Coritiba, May 17: the model's pick was Santos to win (53%) and it missed.
- Bahia 1–1 Gremio, May 17: the model's pick was Bahia to win (35%) and it missed.
- Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians, May 17: the model's pick was Botafogo to win (35%) and it came in.
- Chapecoense-sc 2–3 Remo, May 17: the model's pick was Remo to win (35%) and it came in.
- RB Bragantino 2–0 Vitoria, May 17: the model's pick was RB Bragantino to win (55%) and it came in.
- Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo, May 17: the model's pick was Flamengo to win (34%) and it missed.
Matchday 16 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 16 played?
From May 16 to May 17. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?
RB Bragantino - Vitoria: RB Bragantino to win at 55% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.