Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 28 predictions
10 fixtures from September 19 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 20 · 21:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, September 19
1X2
Série A Matchday 28 runs from September 19 to September 20 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Flamengo - RB Bragantino: Flamengo to win at 69%. The tightest match is Corinthians - Fluminense, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, September 19: the model's pick was Atletico-MG to win (67%) and it missed.
- Mirassol 2–0 Botafogo, September 19: the model's pick was Mirassol to win (37%) and it came in.
- Remo 1–2 Santos, September 19: the model's pick was Santos to win (41%) and it came in.
- Vasco DA Gama 5–0 Coritiba, September 19: the model's pick was Vasco DA Gama to win (64%) and it came in.
- Sao Paulo 1–0 Internacional, September 20: the model's pick was Sao Paulo to win (49%) and it came in.
- Gremio 0–0 Palmeiras, September 20: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (50%) and it missed.
- Corinthians 1–3 Fluminense, September 20: the model's pick was Corinthians to win (36%) and it missed.
- Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro, September 20: the model's pick was Cruzeiro to win (40%) and it came in.
- Flamengo 2–1 RB Bragantino, September 20: the model's pick was Flamengo to win (69%) and it came in.
- Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Bahia, September 20: the model's pick was Atletico Paranaense to win (36%) and it came in.
Matchday 28 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 28 played?
From September 19 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 28?
Flamengo - RB Bragantino: Flamengo to win at 69% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.