Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from April 11 to April 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, April 12 · 21:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, April 11
1X2
Série A Matchday 11 runs from April 11 to April 12 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Atletico Paranaense - Chapecoense-sc: Atletico Paranaense to win at 59%. The tightest match is Santos - Atletico-MG, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo, April 11: the model's pick was Sao Paulo to win (38%) and it missed.
- Remo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, April 11: the model's pick was Vasco DA Gama to win (41%) and it missed.
- Mirassol 1–2 Bahia, April 11: the model's pick was Bahia to win (35%) and it came in.
- Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG, April 11: the model's pick was Draw (34%) and it missed.
- Internacional 0–0 Gremio, April 11: the model's pick was Internacional to win (49%) and it missed.
- Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, April 12: the model's pick was Atletico Paranaense to win (59%) and it came in.
- Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba, April 12: the model's pick was Botafogo to win (50%) and it missed.
- Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo, April 12: the model's pick was Fluminense to win (34%) and it missed.
- Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras, April 12: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (35%) and it missed.
- Cruzeiro 2–1 RB Bragantino, April 12: the model's pick was Cruzeiro to win (35%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 11 played?
From April 11 to April 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Atletico Paranaense - Chapecoense-sc: Atletico Paranaense to win at 59% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.