Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 21 predictions
10 fixtures from July 29 to October 3. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Thursday, July 30 · 00:30
Every fixture this round
Wednesday, July 29
1X2Thursday, July 30
1X2Friday, July 31
1X2Wednesday, September 16
1X2Friday, October 2
1X2Saturday, October 3
1X2Série A Matchday 21 runs from July 29 to October 3 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
Match by match
- Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama, July 29: the model's pick is Vasco DA Gama to win (41%).
- Internacional 1–1 Flamengo, July 29: the model's pick was Flamengo to win (46%) and it missed.
- Mirassol 2–1 Remo, July 29: the model's pick was Mirassol to win (44%) and it came in.
- Fluminense 0–0 Bahia, July 30: the model's pick was Fluminense to win (51%) and it missed.
- Vitoria 0–4 Palmeiras, July 30: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (46%) and it came in.
- Corinthians 0–0 Atletico Paranaense, July 30: the model's pick was Corinthians to win (48%) and it missed.
- Coritiba 0–1 Cruzeiro, July 31: the model's pick was Cruzeiro to win (38%) and it came in.
- Botafogo 3–2 Gremio, September 16: the model's pick was Botafogo to win (53%) and it came in.
- Sao Paulo 1–2 Santos, October 2: the model's pick was Sao Paulo to win (40%) and it missed.
- Atletico-MG 1–0 RB Bragantino, October 3: the model's pick was Atletico-MG to win (46%) and it came in.
Matchday 21 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 21 played?
From July 29 to October 3. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 21?
Chapecoense-sc - Vasco DA Gama: Vasco DA Gama to win at 41% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















