Série A · 2026

Série A Matchday 4 predictions

3 fixtures from July 17 to September 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Wednesday, September 2 · 22:30

Flamengo#2

2–0

Mirassol#16
1 · 81%X · 14%2 · 5%
Flamengo to win · 81%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, July 17

  1. 2–0
    Bahia#5
    Chapecoense-sc#20
    61%27%12%

Thursday, July 23

  1. 0–0
    Botafogo#14
    Vitoria#12
    52%31%17%

Wednesday, September 2

  1. 2–0
    Flamengo#2
    Mirassol#16
    81%14%5%

Série A Matchday 4 runs from July 17 to September 2 with 3 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Flamengo - Mirassol: Flamengo to win at 81%. The tightest match is Botafogo - Vitoria, where no outcome clears 52%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Série A predictions →Série A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Série A Matchday 4 played?

From July 17 to September 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Flamengo - Mirassol: Flamengo to win at 81% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.