Série A · 2026

Série A Matchday 15 predictions

10 fixtures from May 9 to May 10. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, May 10 · 00:00

Bahia#5

1–2

Cruzeiro#6
1 · 35%X · 33%2 · 32%
Bahia to win · 35%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, May 9

  1. 2–2
    Coritiba#7
    Internacional#18
    28%34%38%
  2. 2–2
    Fluminense#4
    Vitoria#11
    52%27%21%

Sunday, May 10

  1. 1–2
    Bahia#5
    Cruzeiro#6
    35%33%32%
  2. 1–1
    Atletico-MG#8
    Botafogo#14
    36%32%32%
  3. 1–1
    Remo#19
    Palmeiras#2
    20%32%48%
  4. 2–0
    Santos#13
    RB Bragantino#9
    40%31%29%
  5. 3–2
    Corinthians#12
    Sao Paulo#10
    35%34%31%
  6. 1–1
    Mirassol#16
    Chapecoense-sc#20
    59%29%12%
  7. 0–1
    Gremio#15
    Flamengo#1
    20%33%47%
  8. 1–0
    Vasco DA Gama#17
    Atletico Paranaense#3
    46%30%24%

Série A Matchday 15 runs from May 9 to May 10 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Mirassol - Chapecoense-sc: Mirassol to win at 59%. The tightest match is Bahia - Cruzeiro, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Série A predictions →Série A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 15 FAQ

When is Série A Matchday 15 played?

From May 9 to May 10. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 15?

Mirassol - Chapecoense-sc: Mirassol to win at 59% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.