Série A · 2026
Brazil Série A Matchday 15 predictions
10 fixtures from May 9 to May 10. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, May 10 · 00:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 9
1X2
Sunday, May 10
1X2- 1–2
Bahia#7
Cruzeiro#335%33%32%✗ Miss - 1–1
Atletico-MG#6
Botafogo#1136%32%32%✗ Miss - 1–1
Remo#19
Palmeiras#220%32%48%✗ Miss - 2–0
Santos#8
RB Bragantino#1040%31%29%✓ Hit - 3–2
Corinthians#18
Sao Paulo#935%34%31%✓ Hit - 1–1
Mirassol#15
Chapecoense-sc#2059%29%12%✗ Miss - 0–1
Gremio#17
Flamengo#120%33%47%✓ Hit - 1–0
Vasco DA Gama#13
Atletico Paranaense#446%30%24%✓ Hit
Série A Matchday 15 runs from May 9 to May 10 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Mirassol - Chapecoense-sc: Mirassol to win at 59%. The tightest match is Bahia - Cruzeiro, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Coritiba 2–2 Internacional, May 9: the model's pick was Internacional to win (38%) and it missed.
- Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria, May 9: the model's pick was Fluminense to win (52%) and it missed.
- Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro, May 10: the model's pick was Bahia to win (35%) and it missed.
- Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo, May 10: the model's pick was Atletico-MG to win (36%) and it missed.
- Remo 1–1 Palmeiras, May 10: the model's pick was Palmeiras to win (48%) and it missed.
- Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino, May 10: the model's pick was Santos to win (40%) and it came in.
- Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo, May 10: the model's pick was Corinthians to win (35%) and it came in.
- Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, May 10: the model's pick was Mirassol to win (59%) and it missed.
- Gremio 0–1 Flamengo, May 10: the model's pick was Flamengo to win (47%) and it came in.
- Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Atletico Paranaense, May 10: the model's pick was Vasco DA Gama to win (46%) and it came in.
Matchday 15 FAQ
When is Série A Matchday 15 played?
From May 9 to May 10. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 15?
Mirassol - Chapecoense-sc: Mirassol to win at 59% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.