Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 1 predictions
9 fixtures from August 21 to August 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 23 · 18:45
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 21
1X2
Saturday, August 22
1X2
Ligue 1 Matchday 1 runs from August 21 to August 23 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Paris Saint Germain - Rennes: Paris Saint Germain to win at 67%. The tightest match is Le Mans - Stade Brestois 29, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg, August 21: the model's pick was Marseille to win (52%) and it came in.
- Lens 5–2 Auxerre, August 22: the model's pick was Lens to win (61%) and it came in.
- Nice 0–0 Lorient, August 22: the model's pick was Nice to win (45%) and it missed.
- Toulouse 0–2 Lyon, August 22: the model's pick was Lyon to win (40%) and it came in.
- Estac Troyes 0–0 Paris FC, August 22: the model's pick was Paris FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Le Mans 2–2 Stade Brestois 29, August 22: the model's pick was Le Mans to win (39%) and it missed.
- Angers 0–2 Lille, August 23: the model's pick was Lille to win (53%) and it came in.
- Le Havre 0–1 Monaco, August 23: the model's pick was Monaco to win (48%) and it came in.
- Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Rennes, August 23: the model's pick was Paris Saint Germain to win (67%) and it missed.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 1 played?
From August 21 to August 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Paris Saint Germain - Rennes: Paris Saint Germain to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.