Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 12 predictions
9 fixtures from November 27 to November 29. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, November 29 · 19:45
Every fixture this round
Friday, November 27
1X2Saturday, November 28
1X2Ligue 1 Matchday 12 runs from November 27 to November 29 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Nice - Estac Troyes: Nice to win at 69%. The tightest match is Le Havre - Strasbourg, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC, November 27: the model's pick is Paris FC to win (44%).
- Angers vs Lens, November 28: the model's pick is Lens to win (51%).
- Nice vs Estac Troyes, November 28: the model's pick is Nice to win (69%).
- Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient, November 28: the model's pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (64%).
- Le Havre vs Strasbourg, November 28: the model's pick is Strasbourg to win (37%).
- Le Mans vs Lille, November 28: the model's pick is Lille to win (55%).
- Auxerre vs Marseille, November 29: the model's pick is Marseille to win (40%).
- Toulouse vs Rennes, November 29: the model's pick is Rennes to win (47%).
- Lyon vs Monaco, November 29: the model's pick is Lyon to win (43%).
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 12 played?
From November 27 to November 29. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
Nice - Estac Troyes: Nice to win at 69% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















