Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 3 predictions
9 fixtures from September 3 to September 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, September 4 · 19:05
Every fixture this round
Thursday, September 3
1X2
Friday, September 4
1X2
Saturday, September 5
1X2
Ligue 1 Matchday 3 runs from September 3 to September 6 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Lyon - Auxerre: Lyon to win at 64%. The tightest match is Estac Troyes - Strasbourg, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Toulouse 0–1 Lille, September 3: the model's pick was Lille to win (47%) and it came in.
- Lyon 3–1 Auxerre, September 4: the model's pick was Lyon to win (64%) and it came in.
- Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco, September 4: the model's pick was Paris Saint Germain to win (64%) and it missed.
- Lens 0–1 Lorient, September 5: the model's pick was Lens to win (64%) and it missed.
- Nice 1–1 Le Mans, September 5: the model's pick was Nice to win (43%) and it missed.
- Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29, September 5: the model's pick was Le Havre to win (38%) and it missed.
- Estac Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg, September 6: the model's pick was Strasbourg to win (35%) and it came in.
- Angers 1–2 Rennes, September 6: the model's pick was Rennes to win (51%) and it came in.
- Marseille 2–3 Paris FC, September 6: the model's pick was Marseille to win (55%) and it missed.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 3 played?
From September 3 to September 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Lyon - Auxerre: Lyon to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.