Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 6 predictions
9 fixtures from October 9 to October 11. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, October 9 · 18:45
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 9
1X2Saturday, October 10
1X2
Ligue 1 Matchday 6 runs from October 9 to October 11 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Paris Saint Germain - Le Mans: Paris Saint Germain to win at 85%. The tightest match is Lens - Lyon, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Lens 2–1 Lyon, October 9: the model's pick was Lyon to win (40%) and it missed.
- Lille 1–0 Le Havre, October 10: the model's pick was Lille to win (64%) and it came in.
- Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans, October 10: the model's pick was Paris Saint Germain to win (85%) and it came in.
- Monaco 2–2 Toulouse, October 10: the model's pick was Monaco to win (57%) and it missed.
- Lorient 1–0 Paris FC, October 10: the model's pick was Paris FC to win (45%) and it missed.
- Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers, October 10: the model's pick was Stade Brestois 29 to win (46%) and it came in.
- Nice 2–1 Strasbourg, October 11: the model's pick was Nice to win (42%) and it came in.
- Rennes 4–1 Auxerre, October 11: the model's pick was Rennes to win (64%) and it came in.
- Estac Troyes 0–2 Marseille, October 11: the model's pick was Marseille to win (49%) and it came in.
Matchday 6 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 6 played?
From October 9 to October 11. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 6?
Paris Saint Germain - Le Mans: Paris Saint Germain to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.