Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 11 predictions
9 fixtures from November 20 to November 22. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, November 21 · 19:45
Every fixture this round
Friday, November 20
1X2Saturday, November 21
1X2Ligue 1 Matchday 11 runs from November 20 to November 22 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Paris FC - Angers: Paris FC to win at 72%. The tightest match is Strasbourg - Stade Brestois 29, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Estac Troyes vs Le Havre, November 20: the model's pick is Estac Troyes to win (45%).
- Nice vs Paris Saint Germain, November 21: the model's pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (56%).
- Lille vs Lyon, November 21: the model's pick is Lille to win (42%).
- Monaco vs Auxerre, November 21: the model's pick is Monaco to win (64%).
- Strasbourg vs Stade Brestois 29, November 21: the model's pick is Stade Brestois 29 to win (38%).
- Lens vs Toulouse, November 21: the model's pick is Lens to win (51%).
- Paris FC vs Angers, November 22: the model's pick is Paris FC to win (72%).
- Lorient vs Rennes, November 22: the model's pick is Lorient to win (40%).
- Marseille vs Le Mans, November 22: the model's pick is Marseille to win (61%).
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 11 played?
From November 20 to November 22. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Paris FC - Angers: Paris FC to win at 72% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















