Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 7 predictions
9 fixtures from October 16 to October 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 18 · 15:15
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2
Saturday, October 17
1X2
Ligue 1 Matchday 7 runs from October 16 to October 18 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain: Paris Saint Germain to win at 64%. The tightest match is Le Mans - Toulouse, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse, October 16: the model's pick was Toulouse to win (40%) and it came in.
- Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain, October 17: the model's pick was Paris Saint Germain to win (64%) and it came in.
- Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, October 17: the model's pick was Lille to win (50%) and it missed.
- Estac Troyes 1–3 Lens, October 17: the model's pick was Lens to win (51%) and it came in.
- Angers 2–5 Marseille, October 18: the model's pick was Marseille to win (48%) and it came in.
- Lorient 1–0 Monaco, October 18: the model's pick was Monaco to win (48%) and it missed.
- Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre, October 18: the model's pick was Le Havre to win (41%) and it missed.
- Paris FC 4–3 Rennes, October 18: the model's pick was Paris FC to win (40%) and it came in.
- Lyon 2–1 Nice, October 18: the model's pick was Lyon to win (52%) and it came in.
Matchday 7 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 7 played?
From October 16 to October 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 7?
Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain: Paris Saint Germain to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.