La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from October 30 to November 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 31 · 20:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 30
1X2Saturday, October 31
1X2Sunday, November 1
1X2Monday, November 2
1X2La Liga Matchday 11 runs from October 30 to November 2 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Barcelona - Alaves: Barcelona to win at 83%. The tightest match is Athletic Club - Real Sociedad, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Villarreal vs Espanyol, October 30: the model's pick is Villarreal to win (60%).
- Levante vs Atletico Madrid, October 31: the model's pick is Atletico Madrid to win (60%).
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo, October 31: the model's pick is Rayo Vallecano to win (40%).
- Real Betis vs Malaga, October 31: the model's pick is Real Betis to win (64%).
- Barcelona vs Alaves, October 31: the model's pick is Barcelona to win (83%).
- Getafe vs Sevilla, November 1: the model's pick is Sevilla to win (40%).
- Racing Santander vs Real Madrid, November 1: the model's pick is Real Madrid to win (73%).
- Elche vs Valencia, November 1: the model's pick is Elche to win (40%).
- Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad, November 1: the model's pick is Athletic Club to win (38%).
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna, November 2: the model's pick is Deportivo La Coruna to win (47%).
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 11 played?
From October 30 to November 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Barcelona - Alaves: Barcelona to win at 83% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















