La Liga · 2026/27

La Liga Matchday 3 predictions

10 fixtures from August 28 to August 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, August 29 · 19:30

Sevilla#6

1–3

Atletico Madrid#7
1 · 18%X · 31%2 · 51%
Atletico Madrid to win · 51%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, August 28

  1. 3–2
    Racing Santander#13
    Elche#19
    38%30%32%
  2. 1–0
    Alaves#2
    Villarreal#17
    32%27%41%

Saturday, August 29

  1. 5–2
    Levante#11
    Real Betis#4
    28%31%41%
  2. 2–1
    Real Sociedad#9
    Espanyol#12
    42%31%27%
  3. 1–3
    Sevilla#6
    Atletico Madrid#7
    18%31%51%

Sunday, August 30

  1. 4–0
    Real Madrid#3
    Malaga#18
    85%12%3%
  2. 3–1
    Deportivo La Coruna#5
    Valencia#20
    38%31%31%
  3. 0–2
    Celta Vigo#16
    Athletic Club#10
    44%31%25%

Monday, August 31

  1. 1–0
    Osasuna#8
    Getafe#15
    44%35%21%
  2. 5–2
    Barcelona#1
    Rayo Vallecano#14
    84%12%4%

La Liga Matchday 3 runs from August 28 to August 31 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Real Madrid - Malaga: Real Madrid to win at 85%. The tightest match is Racing Santander - Elche, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All La Liga predictions →La Liga table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is La Liga Matchday 3 played?

From August 28 to August 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Real Madrid - Malaga: Real Madrid to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.