La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 3 predictions
10 fixtures from August 28 to August 31. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 29 · 19:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, August 28
1X2
Saturday, August 29
1X2
Sunday, August 30
1X2
Monday, August 31
1X2
La Liga Matchday 3 runs from August 28 to August 31 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Real Madrid - Malaga: Real Madrid to win at 85%. The tightest match is Racing Santander - Elche, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Racing Santander 3–2 Elche, August 28: the model's pick was Racing Santander to win (38%) and it came in.
- Alaves 1–0 Villarreal, August 28: the model's pick was Villarreal to win (41%) and it missed.
- Levante 5–2 Real Betis, August 29: the model's pick was Real Betis to win (41%) and it missed.
- Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol, August 29: the model's pick was Real Sociedad to win (42%) and it came in.
- Sevilla 1–3 Atletico Madrid, August 29: the model's pick was Atletico Madrid to win (51%) and it came in.
- Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga, August 30: the model's pick was Real Madrid to win (85%) and it came in.
- Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 Valencia, August 30: the model's pick was Deportivo La Coruna to win (38%) and it came in.
- Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club, August 30: the model's pick was Celta Vigo to win (44%) and it missed.
- Osasuna 1–0 Getafe, August 31: the model's pick was Osasuna to win (44%) and it came in.
- Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano, August 31: the model's pick was Barcelona to win (84%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 3 played?
From August 28 to August 31. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Real Madrid - Malaga: Real Madrid to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.