La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 9 predictions
10 fixtures from October 16 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 17 · 16:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 16
1X2Saturday, October 17
1X2Sunday, October 18
1X2Monday, October 19
1X2La Liga Matchday 9 runs from October 16 to October 19 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Real Madrid - Sevilla: Real Madrid to win at 77%. The tightest match is Getafe - Rayo Vallecano, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante, October 16: the model's pick was Deportivo La Coruna to win (42%) and it missed.
- Espanyol 0–1 Atletico Madrid, October 17: the model's pick was Atletico Madrid to win (53%) and it came in.
- Villarreal 0–0 Elche, October 17: the model's pick was Villarreal to win (64%) and it missed.
- Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona, October 17: the model's pick was Barcelona to win (64%) and it came in.
- Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club, October 17: the model's pick was Athletic Club to win (45%) and it missed.
- Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander, October 18: the model's pick was Osasuna to win (49%) and it came in.
- Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves, October 18: the model's pick was Celta Vigo to win (44%) and it came in.
- Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad, October 18: the model's pick was Real Sociedad to win (43%) and it came in.
- Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla, October 18: the model's pick was Real Madrid to win (77%) and it came in.
- Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, October 19: the model's pick was Rayo Vallecano to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 9 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 9 played?
From October 16 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 9?
Real Madrid - Sevilla: Real Madrid to win at 77% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















