La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 6 predictions
10 fixtures from September 3 to October 21. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Thursday, September 3 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Thursday, September 3
1X2Tuesday, September 15
1X2
Wednesday, September 16
1X2
Thursday, September 17
1X2
Wednesday, October 21
1X2
La Liga Matchday 6 runs from September 3 to October 21 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Barcelona - Racing Santander: Barcelona to win at 85%. The tightest match is Deportivo La Coruna - Sevilla, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Real Sociedad 0–0 Celta Vigo, September 3: the model's pick was Real Sociedad to win (50%) and it missed.
- Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol, September 15: the model's pick was Rayo Vallecano to win (40%) and it came in.
- Alaves 0–1 Valencia, September 15: the model's pick was Alaves to win (44%) and it missed.
- Elche 2–3 Real Madrid, September 15: the model's pick was Real Madrid to win (74%) and it came in.
- Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna, September 16: the model's pick was Atletico Madrid to win (64%) and it came in.
- Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Sevilla, September 16: the model's pick was Deportivo La Coruna to win (39%) and it missed.
- Barcelona 7–2 Racing Santander, September 16: the model's pick was Barcelona to win (85%) and it came in.
- Real Betis 1–0 Getafe, September 17: the model's pick was Real Betis to win (51%) and it came in.
- Malaga 1–3 Villarreal, September 17: the model's pick was Villarreal to win (50%) and it came in.
- Levante 3–1 Athletic Club, October 21: the model's pick was Athletic Club to win (43%) and it missed.
Matchday 6 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 6 played?
From September 3 to October 21. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 6?
Barcelona - Racing Santander: Barcelona to win at 85% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.