La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 1 predictions
10 fixtures from August 15 to August 27. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, August 26 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, August 15
1X2
Sunday, August 16
1X2
Monday, August 17
1X2
Wednesday, August 19
1X2
Tuesday, August 25
1X2
Wednesday, August 26
1X2Thursday, August 27
1X2
La Liga Matchday 1 runs from August 15 to August 27 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Barcelona - Athletic Club: Barcelona to win at 76%. The tightest match is Racing Santander - Villarreal, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Alaves 3–0 Getafe, August 15: the model's pick was Alaves to win (39%) and it came in.
- Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano, August 15: the model's pick was Sevilla to win (41%) and it came in.
- Racing Santander 2–2 Villarreal, August 16: the model's pick was Villarreal to win (36%) and it missed.
- Espanyol 3–0 Levante, August 16: the model's pick was Espanyol to win (44%) and it came in.
- Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Elche, August 17: the model's pick was Deportivo La Coruna to win (40%) and it missed.
- Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga, August 19: the model's pick was Atletico Madrid to win (69%) and it came in.
- Valencia 0–1 Real Betis, August 25: the model's pick was Real Betis to win (40%) and it came in.
- Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad, August 26: the model's pick was Real Madrid to win (74%) and it came in.
- Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna, August 27: the model's pick was Celta Vigo to win (49%) and it missed.
- Barcelona 2–0 Athletic Club, August 27: the model's pick was Barcelona to win (76%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 1 played?
From August 15 to August 27. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Barcelona - Athletic Club: Barcelona to win at 76% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.