La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 12 predictions
10 fixtures from November 6 to November 8. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, November 8 · 20:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, November 6
1X2Saturday, November 7
1X2La Liga Matchday 12 runs from November 6 to November 8 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Valencia - Real Madrid: Real Madrid to win at 73%. The tightest match is Espanyol - Deportivo La Coruna, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Sevilla vs Alaves, November 6: the model's pick is Sevilla to win (48%).
- Malaga vs Racing Santander, November 7: the model's pick is Racing Santander to win (42%).
- Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna, November 7: the model's pick is Espanyol to win (36%).
- Osasuna vs Athletic Club, November 7: the model's pick is Athletic Club to win (41%).
- Valencia vs Real Madrid, November 7: the model's pick is Real Madrid to win (73%).
- Elche vs Real Betis, November 8: the model's pick is Real Betis to win (69%).
- Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano, November 8: the model's pick is Real Sociedad to win (51%).
- Villarreal vs Getafe, November 8: the model's pick is Villarreal to win (49%).
- Celta Vigo vs Levante, November 8: the model's pick is Celta Vigo to win (53%).
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona, November 8: the model's pick is Barcelona to win (55%).
Matchday 12 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 12 played?
From November 6 to November 8. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?
Valencia - Real Madrid: Real Madrid to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















