La Liga · 2026/27
La Liga Matchday 4 predictions
10 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, September 4 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2Saturday, September 5
1X2
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Monday, September 7
1X2
La Liga Matchday 4 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Real Betis - Real Madrid: Real Madrid to win at 64%. The tightest match is Malaga - Levante, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid, September 4: the model's pick was Real Madrid to win (64%) and it missed.
- Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid, September 5: the model's pick was Atletico Madrid to win (41%) and it missed.
- Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander, September 5: the model's pick was Rayo Vallecano to win (50%) and it came in.
- Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La Coruna, September 5: the model's pick was Villarreal to win (53%) and it missed.
- Valencia 0–5 Barcelona, September 6: the model's pick was Barcelona to win (64%) and it came in.
- Malaga 0–0 Levante, September 6: the model's pick was Malaga to win (36%) and it missed.
- Alaves 5–2 Osasuna, September 6: the model's pick was Alaves to win (43%) and it came in.
- Espanyol 1–1 Sevilla, September 6: the model's pick was Espanyol to win (38%) and it missed.
- Getafe 1–1 Celta Vigo, September 7: the model's pick was Getafe to win (40%) and it missed.
- Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad, September 7: the model's pick was Real Sociedad to win (44%) and it came in.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is La Liga Matchday 4 played?
From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Real Betis - Real Madrid: Real Madrid to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.