MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 28 predictions
15 fixtures from October 10 to October 11. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, October 10 · 23:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 10
1X2- 2–1
Toronto FC#11
CF Montreal#1550%29%21%✓ Hit - 2–1
Chicago Fire#4
New York City FC#1240%30%30%✓ Hit - 3–2
Orlando City SC#7
Columbus Crew#1039%29%32%✓ Hit - 2–1
Philadelphia Union#6
Real Salt Lake#1067%21%12%✓ Hit - 4–1
New York Red Bulls#9
San Diego#1229%30%41%✗ Miss - 1–3
Atlanta United FC#14
FC Cincinnati#842%31%27%✗ Miss - 0–3
New England Revolution#2
Seattle Sounders#740%30%30%✗ Miss - 4–0
Inter Miami#3
DC United#1364%19%17%✓ Hit - 3–2
Charlotte#5
FC Dallas#242%26%32%✓ Hit
Sunday, October 11
1X2- 3–3
Sporting Kansas City#15
Portland Timbers#1128%30%42%✗ Miss - 2–2
Minnesota United FC#13
Houston Dynamo#537%31%32%✗ Miss - 1–4
Austin#14
Nashville SC#120%30%50%✓ Hit - 1–1
Colorado Rapids#8
San Jose Earthquakes#440%30%30%✗ Miss - 1–1
Los Angeles FC#6
Vancouver Whitecaps#129%31%40%✗ Miss - 6–2
St. Louis City#3
Los Angeles Galaxy#964%22%14%✓ Hit
MLS Matchday 28 runs from October 10 to October 11 with 15 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Philadelphia Union - Real Salt Lake: Philadelphia Union to win at 67%. The tightest match is Minnesota United FC - Houston Dynamo, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal, October 10: the model's pick was Toronto FC to win (50%) and it came in.
- Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC, October 10: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (40%) and it came in.
- Orlando City SC 3–2 Columbus Crew, October 10: the model's pick was Orlando City SC to win (39%) and it came in.
- Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake, October 10: the model's pick was Philadelphia Union to win (67%) and it came in.
- New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego, October 10: the model's pick was San Diego to win (41%) and it missed.
- Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati, October 10: the model's pick was Atlanta United FC to win (42%) and it missed.
- New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle Sounders, October 10: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (40%) and it missed.
- Inter Miami 4–0 DC United, October 10: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (64%) and it came in.
- Charlotte 3–2 FC Dallas, October 10: the model's pick was Charlotte to win (42%) and it came in.
- Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers, October 11: the model's pick was Portland Timbers to win (42%) and it missed.
- Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo, October 11: the model's pick was Minnesota United FC to win (37%) and it missed.
- Austin 1–4 Nashville SC, October 11: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (50%) and it came in.
- Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, October 11: the model's pick was Colorado Rapids to win (40%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, October 11: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (40%) and it missed.
- St. Louis City 6–2 Los Angeles Galaxy, October 11: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (64%) and it came in.
Matchday 28 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 28 played?
From October 10 to October 11. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 28?
Philadelphia Union - Real Salt Lake: Philadelphia Union to win at 67% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.