MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 23 predictions
15 fixtures from September 4 to October 21. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, September 6 · 02:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2
Saturday, September 5
1X2
Sunday, September 6
1X2- 0–0
Seattle Sounders#8
New York Red Bulls#1051%24%25%✗ Miss - 4–3
FC Dallas#2
Sporting Kansas City#1564%23%13%✓ Hit - 1–1
Austin#14
San Jose Earthquakes#544%29%27%✗ Miss - 2–1
Los Angeles Galaxy#10
New England Revolution#244%27%29%✓ Hit - 2–2
Real Salt Lake#9
Los Angeles FC#640%26%34%✗ Miss - 1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps#1
St. Louis City#364%23%13%✗ Miss - 5–4
Portland Timbers#11
Minnesota United FC#1238%29%33%✓ Hit
Wednesday, October 21
1X2
MLS Matchday 23 runs from September 4 to October 21 with 15 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter Miami - Atlanta United FC: Inter Miami to win at 73%. The tightest match is Portland Timbers - Minnesota United FC, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC, September 4: the model's pick was New York City FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego, September 5: the model's pick was Orlando City SC to win (41%) and it came in.
- Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF Montreal, September 5: the model's pick was Philadelphia Union to win (64%) and it came in.
- Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire, September 5: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (43%) and it missed.
- Columbus Crew 3–0 Colorado Rapids, September 5: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (43%) and it came in.
- Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC, September 5: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (73%) and it missed.
- Charlotte 0–0 Houston Dynamo, September 5: the model's pick was Charlotte to win (44%) and it missed.
- Seattle Sounders 0–0 New York Red Bulls, September 6: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (51%) and it missed.
- FC Dallas 4–3 Sporting Kansas City, September 6: the model's pick was FC Dallas to win (64%) and it came in.
- Austin 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, September 6: the model's pick was Austin to win (44%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 New England Revolution, September 6: the model's pick was Los Angeles Galaxy to win (44%) and it came in.
- Real Salt Lake 2–2 Los Angeles FC, September 6: the model's pick was Real Salt Lake to win (40%) and it missed.
- Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 St. Louis City, September 6: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (64%) and it missed.
- Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United FC, September 6: the model's pick was Portland Timbers to win (38%) and it came in.
- FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United, October 21: the model's pick was FC Cincinnati to win (53%) and it came in.
Matchday 23 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 23 played?
From September 4 to October 21. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 23?
Inter Miami - Atlanta United FC: Inter Miami to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.