MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 16 predictions
31 fixtures from May 23 to October 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Wednesday, October 7 · 00:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 23
1X2
Sunday, May 24
1X2- 2–1
Chicago Fire#4
Toronto FC#1135%33%32%✓ Hit - 1–2
Sporting Kansas City#15
New York Red Bulls#933%33%34%✓ Hit - 2–1
Nashville SC#1
New York City FC#1235%33%32%✓ Hit - 1–2
Colorado Rapids#8
FC Dallas#235%30%35%✗ Miss - 1–3
Portland Timbers#11
San Jose Earthquakes#432%29%39%✓ Hit - 2–4
San Diego#12
Vancouver Whitecaps#132%29%39%✓ Hit - 1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy#9
Houston Dynamo#544%31%25%✗ Miss - 2–0
Columbus Crew#10
Atlanta United FC#1456%28%16%✓ Hit - 6–4
Inter Miami#3
Philadelphia Union#661%26%13%✓ Hit
Monday, May 25
1X2Wednesday, July 22
1X2Thursday, July 23
1X2- 2–2
Charlotte#5Atlanta United FC#1448%30%22%✗ Miss - 1–1Houston Dynamo#5
DC United#1350%30%20%✗ Miss - 2–1Sporting Kansas City#15
Minnesota United FC#1324%29%47%✗ Miss - 1–0Nashville SC#1
CF Montreal#1559%27%14%✓ Hit - 3–1
Austin#14
Seattle Sounders#727%31%42%✗ Miss - 1–0Colorado Rapids#8San Diego#1244%27%29%✓ Hit
- 0–4San Jose Earthquakes#4
Orlando City SC#752%25%23%✗ Miss - 1–3Los Angeles Galaxy#9
St. Louis City#338%30%32%✗ Miss - 3–1
Los Angeles FC#6
Real Salt Lake#1043%29%28%✓ Hit - 2–2Portland Timbers#11FC Dallas#232%30%38%✗ Miss
Wednesday, October 7
1X2MLS Matchday 16 runs from May 23 to October 7 with 31 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union: Inter Miami to win at 61%. The tightest match is Charlotte - New England Revolution, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- St. Louis City 3–0 Austin, May 23: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (54%) and it came in.
- Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake, May 23: the model's pick was Minnesota United FC to win (43%) and it missed.
- FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC, May 23: the model's pick was FC Cincinnati to win (53%) and it came in.
- Charlotte 1–0 New England Revolution, May 23: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (34%) and it missed.
- DC United 4–4 CF Montreal, May 23: the model's pick was DC United to win (45%) and it missed.
- Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC, May 24: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (35%) and it came in.
- Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls, May 24: the model's pick was New York Red Bulls to win (34%) and it came in.
- Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC, May 24: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (35%) and it came in.
- Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas, May 24: the model's pick was Colorado Rapids to win (35%) and it missed.
- Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes, May 24: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (39%) and it came in.
- San Diego 2–4 Vancouver Whitecaps, May 24: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (39%) and it came in.
- Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Houston Dynamo, May 24: the model's pick was Los Angeles Galaxy to win (44%) and it missed.
- Columbus Crew 2–0 Atlanta United FC, May 24: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (56%) and it came in.
- Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union, May 24: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (61%) and it came in.
- Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders, May 25: the model's pick was Los Angeles FC to win (45%) and it came in.
- Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls, July 22: the model's pick was Philadelphia Union to win (43%) and it came in.
- New England Revolution 0–0 Toronto FC, July 22: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (52%) and it missed.
- Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC, July 22: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (39%) and it missed.
- FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, July 22: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (48%) and it missed.
- Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire, July 22: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (39%) and it missed.
- Charlotte 2–2 Atlanta United FC, July 23: the model's pick was Charlotte to win (48%) and it missed.
- Houston Dynamo 1–1 DC United, July 23: the model's pick was Houston Dynamo to win (50%) and it missed.
- Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC, July 23: the model's pick was Minnesota United FC to win (47%) and it missed.
- Nashville SC 1–0 CF Montreal, July 23: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (59%) and it came in.
- Austin 3–1 Seattle Sounders, July 23: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (42%) and it missed.
- Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego, July 23: the model's pick was Colorado Rapids to win (44%) and it came in.
- San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC, July 23: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (52%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City, July 23: the model's pick was Los Angeles Galaxy to win (38%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt Lake, July 23: the model's pick was Los Angeles FC to win (43%) and it came in.
- Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas, July 23: the model's pick was FC Dallas to win (38%) and it missed.
- Chicago Fire 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, October 7: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 16 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 16 played?
From May 23 to October 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 16?
Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union: Inter Miami to win at 61% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.