MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 11 predictions
15 fixtures from May 2 to May 3. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, May 2 · 23:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 2
1X2- 1–1
Toronto FC#11
San Jose Earthquakes#424%30%46%✗ Miss - 1–1
Sporting Kansas City#15
Seattle Sounders#715%28%57%✗ Miss - 2–0
Real Salt Lake#10
Portland Timbers#1159%23%18%✓ Hit - 3–4
Inter Miami#3
Orlando City SC#768%21%11%✗ Miss - 0–0
Philadelphia Union#6
Nashville SC#135%31%34%✗ Miss - 2–3
Columbus Crew#10
Minnesota United FC#1352%29%19%✗ Miss - 3–1
Atlanta United FC#14
CF Montreal#1536%31%33%✓ Hit - 0–2
New York Red Bulls#9
FC Dallas#232%30%38%✓ Hit - 1–0
New England Revolution#2
Charlotte#544%31%25%✓ Hit
Sunday, May 3
1X2
MLS Matchday 11 runs from May 2 to May 3 with 15 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter Miami - Orlando City SC: Inter Miami to win at 68%. The tightest match is Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC, where no outcome clears 35%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, May 2: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (46%) and it missed.
- Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders, May 2: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (57%) and it missed.
- Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers, May 2: the model's pick was Real Salt Lake to win (59%) and it came in.
- Inter Miami 3–4 Orlando City SC, May 2: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (68%) and it missed.
- Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC, May 2: the model's pick was Philadelphia Union to win (35%) and it missed.
- Columbus Crew 2–3 Minnesota United FC, May 2: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (52%) and it missed.
- Atlanta United FC 3–1 CF Montreal, May 2: the model's pick was Atlanta United FC to win (36%) and it came in.
- New York Red Bulls 0–2 FC Dallas, May 2: the model's pick was FC Dallas to win (38%) and it came in.
- New England Revolution 1–0 Charlotte, May 2: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (44%) and it came in.
- Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati, May 3: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (53%) and it missed.
- Houston Dynamo 1–0 Colorado Rapids, May 3: the model's pick was Houston Dynamo to win (46%) and it came in.
- San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC, May 3: the model's pick was Los Angeles FC to win (39%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps, May 3: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (37%) and it missed.
- New York City FC 0–2 DC United, May 3: the model's pick was New York City FC to win (42%) and it missed.
- Austin 2–0 St. Louis City, May 3: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (38%) and it missed.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 11 played?
From May 2 to May 3. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Inter Miami - Orlando City SC: Inter Miami to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.