MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 21 predictions
15 fixtures from August 22 to August 23. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 23 · 01:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, August 22
1X2
Sunday, August 23
1X2- 3–2
Nashville SC#1
Columbus Crew#953%29%18%✓ Hit - 2–1
St. Louis City#3
Houston Dynamo#437%30%33%✓ Hit - 1–1
Austin#14
Philadelphia Union#630%30%40%✗ Miss - 5–0
Vancouver Whitecaps#1
FC Dallas#264%23%13%✓ Hit - 1–5
San Jose Earthquakes#5
Minnesota United FC#1240%29%31%✗ Miss - 1–1
Los Angeles FC#6
Portland Timbers#1164%22%14%✗ Miss - 3–0
San Diego#13
Colorado Rapids#743%28%29%✓ Hit - 1–1
New England Revolution#2
New York City FC#1229%31%40%✗ Miss - 2–1
Atlanta United FC#14
Sporting Kansas City#1549%26%25%✓ Hit
MLS Matchday 21 runs from August 22 to August 23 with 15 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter Miami - Toronto FC: Inter Miami to win at 64%. The tightest match is St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Orlando City SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake, August 22: the model's pick was Orlando City SC to win (41%) and it came in.
- New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago Fire, August 22: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (49%) and it missed.
- CF Montreal 2–2 Los Angeles Galaxy, August 22: the model's pick was CF Montreal to win (41%) and it missed.
- FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders, August 22: the model's pick was FC Cincinnati to win (52%) and it missed.
- Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FC, August 22: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (64%) and it missed.
- Charlotte 3–1 DC United, August 22: the model's pick was Charlotte to win (52%) and it came in.
- Nashville SC 3–2 Columbus Crew, August 23: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (53%) and it came in.
- St. Louis City 2–1 Houston Dynamo, August 23: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (37%) and it came in.
- Austin 1–1 Philadelphia Union, August 23: the model's pick was Philadelphia Union to win (40%) and it missed.
- Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 FC Dallas, August 23: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (64%) and it came in.
- San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC, August 23: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (40%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles FC 1–1 Portland Timbers, August 23: the model's pick was Los Angeles FC to win (64%) and it missed.
- San Diego 3–0 Colorado Rapids, August 23: the model's pick was San Diego to win (43%) and it came in.
- New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FC, August 23: the model's pick was New York City FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Atlanta United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, August 23: the model's pick was Atlanta United FC to win (49%) and it came in.
Matchday 21 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 21 played?
From August 22 to August 23. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 21?
Inter Miami - Toronto FC: Inter Miami to win at 64% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.