MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 17 predictions
20 fixtures from July 16 to July 26. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, July 25 · 23:30
Every fixture this round
Thursday, July 16
1X2Friday, July 17
1X2Saturday, July 18
1X2Saturday, July 25
1X2- 0–2
New York Red Bulls#9
Charlotte#543%29%28%✗ Miss - 2–1
Columbus Crew#10
FC Cincinnati#844%27%29%✓ Hit - 1–0
Orlando City SC#7
Nashville SC#128%29%43%✗ Miss - 1–0
Philadelphia Union#6
Seattle Sounders#733%31%36%✗ Miss - 3–1
New York City FC#12
Chicago Fire#440%31%29%✓ Hit - 4–1
New England Revolution#2
Atlanta United FC#1473%15%12%✓ Hit - 0–1
CF Montreal#15
Inter Miami#327%29%44%✓ Hit - 2–1
DC United#13
Toronto FC#1145%31%24%✓ Hit
Sunday, July 26
1X2- 3–0
Houston Dynamo#5
Austin#1458%28%14%✓ Hit - 0–0
Minnesota United FC#13
Vancouver Whitecaps#124%30%46%✗ Miss - 1–0
St. Louis City#3
Colorado Rapids#847%30%23%✓ Hit - 1–0
San Diego#12
FC Dallas#237%29%34%✓ Hit - 1–1
San Jose Earthquakes#4
Los Angeles Galaxy#948%27%25%✗ Miss - 4–0
Los Angeles FC#6
Sporting Kansas City#1568%21%11%✓ Hit - 2–1
Portland Timbers#11
Real Salt Lake#1031%29%40%✗ Miss
MLS Matchday 17 runs from July 16 to July 26 with 20 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is New England Revolution - Atlanta United FC: New England Revolution to win at 73%. The tightest match is Los Angeles Galaxy - Los Angeles FC, where no outcome clears 36%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC, July 16: the model's pick was CF Montreal to win (44%) and it missed.
- St. Louis City 3–2 Sporting Kansas City, July 17: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (60%) and it came in.
- Seattle Sounders 1–5 Portland Timbers, July 17: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (59%) and it missed.
- Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC, July 18: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (57%) and it came in.
- Los Angeles Galaxy 0–3 Los Angeles FC, July 18: the model's pick was Los Angeles Galaxy to win (36%) and it missed.
- New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte, July 25: the model's pick was New York Red Bulls to win (43%) and it missed.
- Columbus Crew 2–1 FC Cincinnati, July 25: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (44%) and it came in.
- Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC, July 25: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (43%) and it missed.
- Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders, July 25: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (36%) and it missed.
- New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire, July 25: the model's pick was New York City FC to win (40%) and it came in.
- New England Revolution 4–1 Atlanta United FC, July 25: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (73%) and it came in.
- CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami, July 25: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (44%) and it came in.
- DC United 2–1 Toronto FC, July 25: the model's pick was DC United to win (45%) and it came in.
- Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin, July 26: the model's pick was Houston Dynamo to win (58%) and it came in.
- Minnesota United FC 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps, July 26: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (46%) and it missed.
- St. Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids, July 26: the model's pick was St. Louis City to win (47%) and it came in.
- San Diego 1–0 FC Dallas, July 26: the model's pick was San Diego to win (37%) and it came in.
- San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy, July 26: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (48%) and it missed.
- Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City, July 26: the model's pick was Los Angeles FC to win (68%) and it came in.
- Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake, July 26: the model's pick was Real Salt Lake to win (40%) and it missed.
Matchday 17 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 17 played?
From July 16 to July 26. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 17?
New England Revolution - Atlanta United FC: New England Revolution to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.