MLS · 2026
MLS Matchday 15 predictions
15 fixtures from May 16 to May 18. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, May 17 · 00:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, May 16
1X2- 0–2
CF Montreal#15
Chicago Fire#433%27%40%✓ Hit - 1–1
Philadelphia Union#6
Columbus Crew#933%31%36%✗ Miss - 1–1
Orlando City SC#7
Atlanta United FC#1445%31%24%✗ Miss - 1–1
New York Red Bulls#10
New York City FC#1230%30%40%✗ Miss - 3–1
Charlotte#5
Toronto FC#1151%29%20%✓ Hit - 2–1
New England Revolution#2
Minnesota United FC#1244%31%25%✓ Hit - 1–1
DC United#13
St. Louis City#342%32%26%✗ Miss
Sunday, May 17
1X2- 1–0
Houston Dynamo#4
Vancouver Whitecaps#130%35%35%✗ Miss - 1–2
Austin#14
Sporting Kansas City#1533%33%34%✓ Hit - 0–2
Seattle Sounders#8
Los Angeles Galaxy#1056%28%16%✗ Miss - 2–1
Real Salt Lake#9
Colorado Rapids#755%28%17%✓ Hit - 3–3
San Diego#13
FC Cincinnati#846%26%28%✗ Miss - 2–3
San Jose Earthquakes#5
FC Dallas#248%29%23%✗ Miss - 2–0
Inter Miami#3
Portland Timbers#1168%21%11%✓ Hit
Monday, May 18
1X2
MLS Matchday 15 runs from May 16 to May 18 with 15 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter Miami - Portland Timbers: Inter Miami to win at 68%. The tightest match is Austin - Sporting Kansas City, where no outcome clears 34%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire, May 16: the model's pick was Chicago Fire to win (40%) and it came in.
- Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew, May 16: the model's pick was Columbus Crew to win (36%) and it missed.
- Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC, May 16: the model's pick was Orlando City SC to win (45%) and it missed.
- New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC, May 16: the model's pick was New York City FC to win (40%) and it missed.
- Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC, May 16: the model's pick was Charlotte to win (51%) and it came in.
- New England Revolution 2–1 Minnesota United FC, May 16: the model's pick was New England Revolution to win (44%) and it came in.
- DC United 1–1 St. Louis City, May 16: the model's pick was DC United to win (42%) and it missed.
- Houston Dynamo 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps, May 17: the model's pick was Vancouver Whitecaps to win (35%) and it missed.
- Austin 1–2 Sporting Kansas City, May 17: the model's pick was Sporting Kansas City to win (34%) and it came in.
- Seattle Sounders 0–2 Los Angeles Galaxy, May 17: the model's pick was Seattle Sounders to win (56%) and it missed.
- Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids, May 17: the model's pick was Real Salt Lake to win (55%) and it came in.
- San Diego 3–3 FC Cincinnati, May 17: the model's pick was San Diego to win (46%) and it missed.
- San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas, May 17: the model's pick was San Jose Earthquakes to win (48%) and it missed.
- Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers, May 17: the model's pick was Inter Miami to win (68%) and it came in.
- Nashville SC 3–2 Los Angeles FC, May 18: the model's pick was Nashville SC to win (44%) and it came in.
Matchday 15 FAQ
When is MLS Matchday 15 played?
From May 16 to May 18. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 15?
Inter Miami - Portland Timbers: Inter Miami to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.