Riga are overwhelming favourites to beat Tukums, given their dominant form, superior league position, and perfect home record. The data consistently points to a comfortable home win.
Form Analysis: Riga are unbeaten in five matches (DWWWW), scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding just 0.4, with three clean sheets. Tukums have lost two in a row and have won only 16% of their last five, conceding 2.4 goals per game with no clean sheets.
Key Factors: Riga's home record is immaculate (8W-2D-0L), and they have won all eight previous H2H meetings. Tukums are second-bottom in the league, 32 points behind Riga, and are in a relegation battle. No significant injuries affect either side.
Conclusion: All evidence points to a straightforward Riga victory. Tukums lack the quality to trouble a well-drilled Riga side at home.
