Ligue 1 · 2026/27
Ligue 1 Matchday 13 predictions
9 fixtures from December 4 to December 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Friday, December 4 · 19:45
Every fixture this round
Friday, December 4
1X2Saturday, December 5
1X2Ligue 1 Matchday 13 runs from December 4 to December 6 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Lens - Le Havre: Lens to win at 74%. The tightest match is Strasbourg - Lorient, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain, December 4: the model's pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (63%).
- Lille vs Auxerre, December 5: the model's pick is Lille to win (69%).
- Monaco vs Angers, December 5: the model's pick is Monaco to win (67%).
- Strasbourg vs Lorient, December 5: the model's pick is Strasbourg to win (40%).
- Paris FC vs Le Mans, December 5: the model's pick is Paris FC to win (72%).
- Lens vs Le Havre, December 5: the model's pick is Lens to win (74%).
- Estac Troyes vs Lyon, December 6: the model's pick is Lyon to win (60%).
- Rennes vs Stade Brestois 29, December 6: the model's pick is Rennes to win (51%).
- Marseille vs Nice, December 6: the model's pick is Marseille to win (53%).
Matchday 13 FAQ
When is Ligue 1 Matchday 13 played?
From December 4 to December 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 13?
Lens - Le Havre: Lens to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















